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This economic indicator just hit an all-time low; history says this is what happens next for stocks

The University of Michigan Current Economic Conditions Index has historically acted as a contrarian indicator for stocks. The highest forward-looking returns for the S&P 500 have come when the index ...
Seeking Alpha

Economic data does not support aggressive rate cuts – Former Fed Vice Chair Roger Ferguson

Former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson believes current economic indicators do not justify aggressive interest rate cuts, suggesting the Fed may only implement one more reduction before ...
Seeking Alpha

Leading Economic And Employment Indicators Are Warnings To Investors

The persistent decline in the US Leading Economic Index and Employment Trends Index signals rising recession risk despite the AI-driven capex surge. Employment growth has slowed to recessionary levels ...
The Motley Fool

This Indicator Has Called Every Recession Over the Last 80 Years. Here's What It's Saying Now.

Before we answer those questions, it's helpful to understand exactly what the VCI is and why it's so accurate. Zandi and his colleagues based the index on the Sahm Rule, developed by economist Claudia ...
The Motley Fool

This Economic Indicator Just Hit an All-Time Low; History Says This Is What Happens Next for Stocks

The December 2025 reading was 50.4, and the 3-month rolling average in January 2026 hit 52.3. Both of those numbers are the lowest ever seen on this report going all the way back to the late 1970s.